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Bublik - Moutet

Prediction: 7

Tipster: Gavin

Category: Tennis Prediction


Tournament: ATP Challenger - Mouilleron le Captif


Stake: 3/15

Odds: 1.92

Betting prediction: Moutet +0 1st set handicap

Starting Time: 11/14/2017 - 09:00 AM

The bet was made at at the odd: 1.92

SBObet are out of line with their price on this market and you should take advantage of this.  Moutet is favourite to win the match everywhere (SBObet included), and so should be favourite to win the first set, instead SBObet offer 1.92 for each player to win that first set. While the odds are offered as a handicap, you are essentially betting on which player will win the set. There is a clear price advantage here.

Other bookmakers are showing interest on Moutet to win the match, with odds already moving at a couple of UK bookmakers and exchanges and I suspect that the price will drop when the match approaches. Best price available anywhere on this market is at SBObet.

As for player form, Moutet won a challenger in France a couple of weeks ago and also reached the quarter final last week, beating former top 50 player Lucas Lacko along the way. He is currently ranked at a career high of 155, having steadily risen up the rankings in the last few months. I'd expect him to be looking to break into the top 100 at the start of next year.

Bublik has had some good wins too, but some bad losses as well. Although he is ranked above Moutet at 115, that ranking has dropped from a high of 95 in recent time, showing a slight lack of form compared to his younger opponent.  I expect it to be a fairly close match, but the value has to be with Moutet, given the prices available on the match odds market.

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Add Date: 11/06/2017 - 11:00 AM

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