West Ham - Liverpool
Category: Football Prediction
League: English Premiership
Betting prediction: West Ham +0.5
Starting Time: 11/04/2017 - 05:30 PM
After an easy win at home to Maribor in the Champion's League, Liverpool are struggling with injuries to key players like Coutinho, Mane, Lallana and Clyne. Wijnaldum is also now a serious doubt for the game against West Ham after limping off. These injuries are going to severely impact Liverpool's creative touch in front of goal. Whilst Liverpool's strikers have been unaffected by the injury problems, with Salah in great form, I am concerned that the number of chances created will drop.
Liverpool have tended to struggle the weekend following a Champion's League match, as shown by the 4-1 thrashing by Tottenham on 22 October and the 1-1 draw at Newcastle on 1 October. This is understandable given midweek exertions along with any knocks that may have been picked up during the game. West Ham will be far fresher.
Whilst West Ham's form has been poor, there was evidence that they are turning things around after leading Crystal Palace comfortable 2-0, only to throw it away in the final minutes of injury time. They may have lost 3-0 at home to Brighton but it was a freak result, if you look closer at the stats from the game. West Ham had 16 shots to Brighton's 7 and controlled 65% of the possession. It was a real 'smash and grab' affair and if West Ham's strikers weren't so reckless in front of goal it could easily have been a very different result!
Both teams would be happy to take a draw away from this match and for that reason I think that West Ham +0.5 is overpriced at 2.47. Realistically the odds should be lower, perhaps closer to 2.3-2.35. 2.47 looks a good value.
Add Date: 11/02/2017 - 04:15 PM